Economics 9708/23 May/June 2022: question paper and mark scheme
Cambridge AS & A Level Economics (9708), Paper 2 Data Response and Essay, May/June 2022. Read both free below, or download them. Done the paper? Get it marked by AI against this mark scheme.
The changing market for avocados
The global consumption of avocados has increased in the last few years, particularly in the United
States (US) but also in China and parts of Europe. This growth is largely due to the increasing popularity of ‘guacamole’ (smashed avocado) and the health benefits claimed for its regular consumption. The US is the largest importer of avocados with supplies coming mainly from Central and South American producers as shown in Fig. 1.1.
Mexico Peru Chile Dominican Republic
1 100
1 000
900
800
700 tonnes
(000) 600
500
400
300
200
100
0
13
14
15
16
17
18
20
20
20
20
20
20
years
Source: Avacados show growth in volume, www.thepacker.com
Fig. 1.1: US Avocado imports by country, 2010 to 2018
The supply of avocados is unpredictable. It is estimated that to produce one kilogram of avocado requires 2000 litres of water. Consequently, production is highly susceptible to drought conditions such as those that affected Central American growers in 2018. When this happens, the price of avocados increases as shown in Fig. 1.2.
700
600
Pesos per 500
10 kg box 400
300
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2019
Source: Mexican Ministry of Economy
Fig. 1.2: Wholesale price of Mexican avocados in the US,
January to July 2019 (pesos per 10 kg box)
A shortage in supply provides an opportunity for new producers to enter the global market. Kenya, for example, has expanded its productive capacity and signed an agreement to supply the Chinese market. Even some New Zealand farmers switched from dairy to avocado production.
The global market for avocados is expected to continue to grow over the next few years. Rising prices will continue to increase production. It should be recognised, however, that there are increasing objections to higher production. In Mexico, for example, farmers have cleared forests to cultivate more avocados. This has put a strain on water supplies and raised concerns about the effects of the farmers’ actions on climate change. These concerns have led one market research report to conclude that ‘the price mechanism is not working to allocate resources successfully.’
Source: Global avocado market, Mordor Intelligence, Avocado market trends 2020, Inspira Farms
(a) Describe the change in the level and source countries of the US’s imports of avocados from
2013 to 2018. [2]
(b) (i) Calculate the percentage change in the wholesale price of Mexican avocados between
April 2019 and the end of July 2019. [1]
(ii) Explain one possible demand reason and one possible supply reason for this change in price. [4]
(c) Using the information provided, consider whether the supply of avocados is price elastic or price inelastic in the short run and in the long run. [4]
(d) Explain, with the help of a production possibility curve diagram, the opportunity cost to a New
Zealand farmer of converting from dairy to avocado production. [3]
(e) Discuss whether the price mechanism in the avocado market is working to allocate resources successfully. [6]
Section B
Answer one question.
Mark scheme
1(a) Describe the change in the level and source countries of 2
the US’s imports of avocados from 2013 to 2018.
Various possibilities including
Overall increase in imports
Big increase in imports from Peru
Mexico remains the most important source of
imports
Imports from Chile and Dom. Republic more variable
Award 1 mark for any of these points, 2 max.
1(b)(i) Calculate the percentage change in the wholesale price 1 Percentage increase is based on an increase from
of Mexican avocados between April 2019 and the end of approximately 300 pesos per 10 kg box to 600 pesos
July 2019. per 10 kg box using change from the start of April
100 increase approximately (1) Accept answers in the range 95 to 105
However, if data used is from end of April then the
change is c33 i.e. 150/450 × 100.
Take note of when the data is taken from in April
when marking the answer.
1(b)(ii) Explain one possible demand reason and one possible 4 The question implies that an explanation of changes in
supply reason for this change in price. demand and supply over the period April to July 2019 is
required. So, no marks should be awarded for the usual
For recognition of a valid demand reason (1) for a valid general demand and supply factors.
explanation as to why price has increased as a result (1) Demand side: new research into health benefits of
avocados, buying for a special event e.g., Superbowl,
For recognition of a valid supply reason (1) for a valid panic buying. These changes will lead to a shift to the
explanation as to why price has increased as a result (1) right of the demand curve.
Supply side: bad weather in Mexico leads to less
supply; increased demand elsewhere reduces supply
available to USA leading to a shift to the left of the
supply curve
1(c) Using the information provided, consider whether the 4 The data refers to the supply of avocados as being
supply of avocados is price elastic or price inelastic in ‘unpredictable’ and therefore difficult to control when
the short run and in the long run. price changes. This is a short run consideration.
Longer term improved methods of farming and irrigation
Price inelastic in short run (1 mark) valid reason e.g., can make supply more responsive to price changes.
reference to drought and lack of water affecting supply (1
mark)
Price elastic in long run (1 mark) valid reason e.g., New
producers enter the market (1 mark)
1(d) Explain with the help of a PPC diagram, the opportunity 3 Correct labels and curve touching both axes
cost to a New Zealand farmer of converting from dairy to
avocado production. Diagram used to explain the idea of choice on at least 2
different points on the curve.
PPC diagram with axes correctly labelled (1 mark)
Curve may be used to explain constant opportunity cost
Use of PPC diagram to show choices between dairy and (straight line) OR increasing opportunity cost (concave
Avocados (1 mark) curve)
Application of opportunity cost to the shape of the PPC
(1 mark)
1(e) Discuss whether the price mechanism in the avocado 6 The market is operating effectively-price is signalling
market is working to allocate resources successfully. consumer preferences and being responsive to
changes in demand and supply.
For analysis that shows that the market is in fact operating
successfully Market could collapse if the health benefits prove to be
(up to 3 marks) wrong. New producers such as Kenya could flood the
market with additional supply leading to a collapse in
For analysis that explains why the market may not operate prices. Environmental pressures due to pressure on
successfully in the future water supplies and forests being destroyed to plant new
(up to 3 marks) avocado bushes.
5 marks maximum for analysis leading to
A valid conclusion as to whether the price mechanism in the
avocado market is working to allocate resources successfully
(1 mark)
(a) A government has decided to spend money building a new barrier to prevent flooding across a city. Explain why this flood defence barrier is likely to meet the characteristics of a public good. [8]
(b) Education and healthcare are considered to be merit goods.
Discuss why merit goods are provided by both the private sector and the public sector. [12]
Mark scheme
2(a) A government has decided to spend money building a 8 Public goods have two key characteristics. These are
new barrier to prevent flooding across a city. Explain that they are non-excludable and non-rival. Both need
why this flood defence barrier is likely to meet the to be explained and the explanation applied to a new
characteristics of a public good. flood defence barrier. Better answers will then point out
the free rider problem in the provision of public goods
For knowledge and understanding of the difference and why it would be difficult for funding to be from the
between a private good and a public good by reference to the private sector as a private good.
characteristics of excludable (1 mark) and rivalry (1 mark)
For application, explain that a flood defence system is a
public good (1 mark), why it is non excludable (1 mark), why
it is non rival (1 mark)
For application, explain that it cannot be a private good (1
mark) by accurate reference to both excludability and rivalry
(1 mark) and the free rider problem (1 mark)
2(b) Education and healthcare are considered to be merit 12 Merit goods have positive side effects when consumed.
goods. They are provided because of information failure which
can lead to under consumption and under production.
Discuss why merit goods are provided by both the Consumers of things like education and healthcare do
private sector and the public sector. not perceive the true benefits usually because they do
not have either any information or true information.
For analysis of the reasons why merit goods are provided by Therefore, the government often provides merit goods.
the public sector
(up to 4 marks) Merit goods in many countries are provided by the
private sector as well as the public sector. This is often
For analysis of why merit goods are provided by the private because the cost of provision to the public sector is too
sector great or because the cost cannot be met in full. The
(up to 4 marks) case of healthcare is important in most low and middle-
income countries.
For evaluation that considers why merit goods are likely to
be provided by both the private and public sector (up to 3 There are no marks awarded in part b for merely
marks) to arrive at a reasoned conclusion explaining / defining terms or phrases within the
(1 mark) question.
(a) Explain the difference between cost-push inflation and demand-pull inflation. [8]
(b) Discuss whether a contractionary monetary policy is the best way to reduce the rate of inflation. [12]
Mark scheme
3(a) Explain the difference between cost-push and demand- 8 Cost-push inflation is the outcome of a rise in the costs
pull inflation. of production. This results in a shift to the left of the AS
curve, increasing the price level. Possible causes could
For knowledge and understanding of what is meant by be an increase in wages above the rate of inflation, an
inflation e.g., it is a situation where there is a increase in raw material costs or an increase in the
sustained / persistent rise (1 mark) in the general / average price of fuel imports due to the depreciation of the
price level / prices (1 mark) currency
For application that explains what is meant by cost push Demand-pull inflation occurs when there is an increase
inflation (1 mark) an appropriate example of a cause (1 in aggregate demand not matched by an increase in
mark) duly explained as to why it causes inflation (1 mark) aggregate supply. This will have a strong effect if the
economy is at or close to the level of full employment.
For application that explains what is meant by demand pull The cause could be an increase in government
inflation (1 mark) an appropriate example of a cause (1 spending, a reduction in taxation leading to a consumer
mark) duly explained why this is different to cost push boom or an increase in demand for exports following a
inflation (1 mark) depreciation of the currency.
3(b) Discuss whether a contractionary monetary policy is the 12 Monetary policy involves measures that influence the
best way to reduce the rate of inflation. price or quantity of money. These include interest rates
and the money supply. In some countries exchange
For analysis that considers the advantages and rate policy is included. Interest rate changes though
disadvantages of using monetary policy to reduce the rate of have tended to be the main policy used to control the
inflation (up to 4 marks with a max of 3 if only advantages rate of inflation in most countries. In theory, an increase
or disadvantages are analysed) in the rate of interest should encourage more saving by
consumers and less funding for investment by
For analysis that considers the advantages and businesses. If effective, an increase in interest rates
disadvantages of at least one other policy to reduce the rate should reduce the rate of inflation.
of inflation (up to 4 marks per policy with a max of 3 if only
advantages or disadvantages are analysed) Fiscal policy can also be used. This involves increasing
taxation or reducing government spending to reduce
For evaluation that considers which is the best way to inflation. Both measures are at the cost of increasing
reduce the rate of inflation (3 marks) to reach a justified the level of unemployment. Supply side policies are
conclusion as to which is the best way (1 mark) also possible, especially if there are structural
weaknesses in an economy.
There are no marks awarded in part b for merely
explaining / defining terms or phrases within the
question.
(a) Explain why some countries consistently have a deficit on the current account of the balance of payments. [8]
(b) Discuss the extent to which expenditure-switching policies and expenditure-reducing policies might be able to reduce such a deficit. [12]
Mark scheme
4(a) Explain why some countries consistently have a deficit 8 The current account should be defined as trade in
on the current account of the balance of payments. goods, services plus other income.
For knowledge and understanding of what the current For the second mark, a deficit is where payments
account of the balance of payments measures (1 mark) and received by a country are exceeded by payments made
what is meant by a deficit (1 mark) by a country / where income from exports is exceeded
by expenditure on imports.
For application that explains the causes of a current account
deficit There are many causes of a current account deficit.
(up to 3 marks) These include an appreciation of the exchange rate; a
reduced supply of primary goods for exports;
For application that explains why some countries may deterioration in the terms of trade; reduced level of aid;
experience a persistent deficit reduced transfer of earnings from migrant workers
(up to 3 marks) overseas; increased protection from trading partners.
The answer should focus on why some countries
consistently have a deficit.
4(b) Discuss the extent to which expenditure-switching 12 Candidates need to have a clear understanding of
policies and expenditure-reducing policies might be able expenditure reducing and expenditure switching
to reduce such a deficit. policies together with an understanding of the
advantages and disadvantages of each.
For analysis that considers the advantages and
disadvantages of using expenditure-switching policies to Examples of expenditure reducing policies which are
remove a deficit on the current account of the balance of designed to reduce domestic aggregate demand to
payments. (a maximum of 3 marks if only advantages or reduce imports and increase goods for export may
disadvantages are analysed) include:
(Up to 4 marks) raising taxes
reducing government spending etc.
For analysis that considers the advantages and
disadvantages of using expenditure-reducing policies to Examples of expenditure switching policies which are
remove a deficit on the current account of the balance of designed to encourage people to switch from buying
payments (a maximum of 3 marks if only advantages or imported goods to buying domestically produced goods
disadvantages are analysed) may include:
(Up to 4 marks) protectionist policies
supply side policies
For evaluation that compares the advantages and exchange rate policies etc.
disadvantages of the two approaches (3 marks) to arrive at a
reasoned conclusion on which is to be of greater overall Analysis and evaluation should focus on how a
benefit in reducing a deficit on the current account of the persistent deficit on the current account may be
balance of payments (1 mark) removed using these policies but may also consider
other impacts on the wider economy.
There are no KU marks awarded in part b for merely
explaining / defining terms or phrases within the
question.
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Economics 9708/23 for May/June 2022 is out of 40 marks, with 1 hour 30 minutes to answer it.
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